Friday 19 April 2013

A brutal week for the metals

It was the worse week for the metals since 2011, with Gold and Silver seeing weekly closing declines of 5.9 and 11.4% respectively. There is a very significant chance for near term upside, but with the key support broken, primary trend remains strongly downward.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly


Summary

Yes, the daily and even weekly charts look extremely oversold, and yes there is the very real likelihood of a near term bounce, but lets be clear...

The PRIMARY trend remains down.

Even more critical to keep in mind is the key issue that with key support broken - with the very natural snap lower, the original down trend has indeed been solidified to a large extent.
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I have to now believe that the metals will probably decline for the next few years, and perhaps level out in late 2015/early 2016.

What is bizarre is seeing members of the gold bug community tout this as a buying opportunity, at the very point when the down trend has broken key support..and thus confirming underlying critical weakness.

Despite the fanaticism out there to 'buy before supplies run out', gold and silver look set for much lower levels in the months ahead.