Monday 31 March 2014

A monthly bearish reversal

Whilst the broader US capital markets ended the month on a positive note, the precious metals ended on a down one. Across the month, Gold and Silver saw net monthly declines of -3.0% and -6.5%  respectively. The monthly close was an especially bearish reversal candle.


GLD, monthly


SLV, monthly


Summary

The net monthly decline bode badly for the rest of the spring..if not much of the summer.

The big question that many will now be asking is whether the December/June 2013 lows are going to be broken below.

That is a very difficult question to answer, but based on the broader trend since 2011, my best guess would be...yes...new lows are coming.

I hold to a broader downside target of Gold $1000/900s, with Silver $12/10.. by mid 2015.