Friday 29 May 2015

Metals still broadly weak

Gold and Silver saw net monthly gains of $6.30 (0.5%) and $0.59 (3.6%) respectively. However, the broader trend from 2011 remains bearish. The Nov'2014 lows still look set to be taken out this summer, with primary target of Gold $1000, along with Silver 12/10.


Gold, monthly2, with fibs



Silver, monthly2, with fibs


Summary

*weekly MACD cycles (not shown) are rolling over again, it bodes for renewed weakness in June.
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Suffice to say, despite May gains, the precious metals remain within the broader downward trends from 2011.

Indeed, it is now a full FOUR years since the May 2011 top for Silver. The 12/10 zone remains very much in range before year end.. and that would make for a drop of around 80%.

On the flip side.. to those going long later this year, just to get back to $49 Silver would take a rally of almost 400%, but that will clearly take some years.
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*for the record, I do actually believe Gold will break >2K.. along with Silver >50 (if not higher) eventually. For the moment though... there still looks to be some further downside.. before it is ultimate buying time.