Friday 27 May 2016

Four weeks down

With the USD continuing to climb, and increased confidence in the broader capital markets, the precious metals continued to cool, with Gold and Silver seeing net weekly declines of -3.4% and -1.9% respectively. Core support is fast approaching


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

Suffice to add, after a powerful ramp - and multi-year breakout - from the Dec' 2015 low, the precious metals are really struggling as the USD climbs on renewed mainstream belief of a second rate hike in June/July. The broader confidence in capital markets is also stripping Gold/Silver of their fear bid.

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GLD needs to hold the $112s.. where there are a number of aspects of support.

SLV needs to hold >$14.50.

If GLD 111s, with SLV in the low 14s, then it'll be a major problem, and provisionally negate the breakout from earlier this year.
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If sp'500 breaks a new historic high >2134, then it would be suggestive of a CORE TREND change... with equities to climb for the rest of the year... with the metals eventually breaking new multi-year lows.

The next 3-5 weeks of price action will be critical.