Friday 3 March 2017

Rough week for Gold and Silver

It was the most bearish week for the precious metals since Dec'2016, with Gold and Silver seeing net weekly declines of -1.7% and -2.4% respectively. Near term outlook does threaten further weakness, but the bigger mid term trend is bullish unless the Dec'2016 lows are broken under.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

With the US capital market in super confident mood, the precious metals saw a marked lack of faith this week. The USD strengthening into the DXY 102s sure didn't help either.

However, its important to keep things in perspective. GLD has rallied around 12% since the Dec'2016 low, with SLV having risen around 17%. These are very significant gains, and periodic retraces have to be expected.

For now, the broader trend is bullish. That only provisionally changes if rising trend is broken. The metal/miner bears can only really get excited if the Dec'2016 lows are broken. On balance, that really doesn't seem viable, even if the USD can climb another 2-3% into early summer.

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