Friday 29 August 2014

Mixed month for Gold and Silver

Whilst the broader US capital markets saw increasing confidence across August, it was a rather mixed month for the two main precious metals. Gold saw a net monthly gain of 0.3%, whilst Silver declined by a pretty significant -4.5%.


Gold, monthly, fib levels



Silver, monthly, fib levels


Summary

It is indeed highly notable that silver remains very weak relative to gold.

Reasons?

Well, Gold is clearly benefiting more from a 'fear bid'.. and lately of course we have had somewhat significant issues with Russia/Ukraine.

Second, there are clear deflationary issues - especially in the EU, and silver - being a more industrial metal, is suffering as a result.

Third, there is always the traditional silver/gold price movement ratio of 2-1. Although this past month of course, Gold actually managed an August gain, vs a -4.5% decline for Silver.
-

*I remain resigned to my grander outlook that Gold will eventually test the giant $1000 threshold next year. That would probably equate to Silver in the low teens.. maybe even the psy' level of $10 an oz.

Without question, that would make for one hell of a buying level in 2015.