Tuesday 30 June 2015

Net monthly declines

Despite the USD cooling by -1.3% to the DXY 95s, the precious metals were still having problems. Gold and Silver saw net monthly declines of $18 (1.5%) and $1.04 (6.2%) respectively. Mid term outlook remains bearish.


Gold, monthly2


Silver, monthly2


Summary

Little to add.

Despite the ongoing Greek drama, and a cooling USD, the precious metals are still finding it difficult to rally.

The broader downward trend from 2011 remains bearish.

Holding to original targets of Gold $1000, with Silver 12/10.

Friday 26 June 2015

Metals back on the slide

The precious metals are back on the slide, with net weekly declines for Gold and Silver of -2.2% and -2.1% respectively. Near term outlook remains bearish, with the Nov'2014 lows still set to be broken this year.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly


Summary

Suffice to say... price action has been broadly choppy since last November.

Many in the infamous gold bug community continue to call a key multi-year floor, but I can't see it. If I am correct about the USD seeing a hyper-ramp to the DXY 120s into 2016, Gold still looks set for the $1000 threshold, along with Silver 12/10.
-

For now... I won't be long the metals.. and by default... the related miners.

Friday 19 June 2015

Net weekly gains

With the USD cooling for the third consecutive week, the precious metals battled higher. Gold and Silver saw net weekly gains of 1.7% and 1.0% respectively. Near term outlook offers a little further upside, but the Nov'2014 lows still look set to be taken out once the USD floors, and begins a hyper ramp to the DXY 120s.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

Suffice to add... price action this year is increasingly tight.

For me, a key multi-year low has not yet been achieved.

Once the USD starts to climb from the DXY 92/90 zone, the metals will be under renewed increasingly downward pressure.
-

Friday 12 June 2015

Mixed week for the precious metals

It was a moderately mixed week for the precious metals, with net weekly changes for Gold and Silver of +0.9% and -0.9% respectively. The broader outlook remains weak, with the Nov'2014 lows set to be taken out this year. Considering the recent few weeks of weakness in the USD, the metals are particularly struggling.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly


Summary

Little to add.

Regardless of any further near term price chop, the metals still look on track to break the Nov' 2014 lows.

Holding to original targets of Gold $1000, with Silver in the 12/10 zone.

Friday 5 June 2015

Rough week for the metals

It was a pretty rough week for the precious metals, with Gold and Silver seeing net weekly declines of a rather significant -1.6% and -3.7% respectively. Mid term outlook remains bearish, however, with the USD set to resume cooling to the DXY 92/90 zone, the metals are set to churn sideways, rather than take out the Nov' 2014 floor.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

*I exited a GLD-short this Friday morning from 111.70. Will consider a Gold reshort in 3-5 weeks, if DXY 92/90.
--

Suffice to add.. rather sig' declines, but it would seem that if the USD starts to cool, the metals will churn sideways/minor bounce for some weeks.

I'm still eventually seeking a washout to the Gold $1000 threshold, along with Silver 12/10