Thursday, 1 January 2026

A year for gold and silver

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net December gains of +$104.80 (2.5%) to $4322.61, and +$14.85 (26.3%) to $71.26 respectively. For the year, Gold and Silver saw net gains of +$1698.23 (64.7%), and +$42.38 (146.7%).

Gold, monthly1b


Silver, monthly1b

 


Summary

Gold: printing a new historic high of $4549.98. Price momentum ticked upward, and remains on the very high side. I would note the monthly 10MA at $3612, which was settled above, as the l/t trend remains bullish. The December candle is pretty spiky on the upper side, and threatens s/t cooling. 

L/t bullish, 5K appears an easy target for 2026, with 7/8K viable.
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Silver: printing a new hist' high of $83.62. Momentum continued to tick upward, and is on the very high side. I would note the monthly 10MA at $43.52, which was settled above, as the l/t trend remains bullish. The December candle is very spiky on the upper side, and threatens s/t cooling. 

L/t bullish, as giant psy'$100 is clearly coming within 2026.
If Gold $7K, silver should be >$150 

... with very bullish implications for the related gold/silver miners.  

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The gold-silver ratio fell to 60.66, the lowest since 2013. On a long term basis (5+ years) silver could be expected to outperform gold.

As ever, ratio charts should be especially treated with caution.
Price action is far more important than any ratio.
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With Bitcoin (as at Dec'31st) around $87K, the Gold-Bitcoin ratio has dropped, settling December to around 20.25. It remains a curious thought that it takes a little over twenty 1oz gold coins to purchase one bitcoin, the latter of which has an intrinsic value of $0.00


 

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Friday, 28 November 2025

Continuing broadly upward

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net November gains of +$212.28 (5.3%) to $4216.71, and +$7.57 (15.5%) to $56.37 respectively.

Gold, monthly1b


Silver, monthly1b


Summary

Gold: printing a low of $3928.86, if rebounding to the $4216s, the highest ever monthly settlement. Price momentum accelerated upward, and remains on the very high side. I would note the monthly 10MA at $3466, which was settled above, as the l/t trend remains bullish. 

Giant psy' $5K appears realistic in January. 
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Silver: ending November on the most bullish note possible... printing a new hist' high of $56.51. Momentum continued to tick upward, and is on the very high side. I would note the monthly 10MA at $39.51, which was settled above, as the l/t trend remains bullish.

Soft target is psy' $60, with secondary of 70/75, the latter of which appears realistic by mid January. 
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The gold-silver ratio fell to 74.80. On a long term basis (5+ years) silver could be expected to outperform gold.

As ever, ratio charts should be especially treated with caution.
Price action is far more important than any ratio.
--

 


With Bitcoin (as at November 28th) around $90K, the Gold-Bitcoin ratio has dropped, settling November to around 21.58. It remains a curious thought that it takes a little over twenty one 1oz gold coins to purchase a one bitcoin, the latter of which has an intrinsic value of $0.00
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Friday, 31 October 2025

Gold and Silver reversal

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net October gains of +$139.31 (3.6%) to $3998.45, and +$1.91 (4.1%) to $48.57 respectively.

Gold, monthly1b

 


Silver, monthly1b

 


Summary

Gold: printing a new hist' high of $4381.58, if cooling back to the $3998s. Price momentum ticked upward, and remains on the very high side. I would note the monthly 10MA at $3323, which was settled above, as the l/t trend remains bullish. 

The October candle was very spiky on the upper side, indicative of tired bulls. 
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Silver: printing a new hist' high of $54.49, if cooling back to the mid $48s. Momentum continued to tick upward, and is on the very high side. I would note the monthly 10MA at $36.98, which was settled above, as the l/t trend remains bullish.

The October candle was very spiky on the upper side, indicative of tired bulls. 
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So... net monthly gains for gold and silver, but October did see a rather powerful downside reversal. Further cooling to test the monthly 10MA... around $3500 and psy' $40, would be the natural outcome, before resuming upward.
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The gold-silver ratio fell to 82.33, but remains historically high. I'd accept that on a long term basis (5+ years) silver could be expected to outperform gold.

As ever, ratio charts should be especially treated with caution.
Price action is far more important than any ratio.
--

 


With Bitcoin (as at October 31st) around $109K, the Gold-Bitcoin ratio has decreased, settling October to around 27.38. It remains a curious thought that it takes a little over twenty seven 1oz gold coins to purchase a one bitcoin, the latter of which has an intrinsic value of $0.00
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