Wednesday 9 January 2013

Metals holding above the summer lows

The precious metals remain comfortably above their summer 2012 lows. Since Bernanke announced QE3 in September, the metals have (to the surprise of many) declined, but this whole 3-4 month price formation could merely be a giant bull flag.


GLD, weekly2, rainbow



SLV, weekly2, rainbow


Summary

Gold remains stronger than the more volatile - and industrial metal, Silver. It would seem that in any future 'currency worries' moment, the flight to safety will most definitely be to Gold.

The underlying MACD (green bar histogram) weekly cycle looks very much like its levelling out. Although its still very much in negative territory, but we might see the first up tick next week..


Key levels in the mid-term

GLD, >170, and then 175. A break over 175 opens up a challenge of the all time high..and the giant 'Gold $2000' threshold.

SLV, >34, and then 40/42. It would seem very difficult for Silver - unlike Gold, to break to new historic highs this year.
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As ever..physical metals remain the ultimate personal insurance against the printing of the central banks..and indeed..the reckless over-spending policies of most national Govt.