Monday, 31 August 2015

Mixed month for the metals

It was a mixed month for the precious metals, with Gold and Silver seeing net August changes of +$39.15 (3.6%) @ $1134.15, and -$0.11 (0.8%) @ $14.65. Near term outlook remains broadly bearish, with Gold still on track for the giant $1000 threshold, along with Silver to 12/10.


Gold, monthly2, with fibs



Silver, monthly2, with fibs



Summary

Suffice to add, despite some serious turmoil in late August, Gold never really attained a particularly significant 'fear bid', and Silver even managed a fractional net monthly decline.

Broadly, the bearish trend from 2011 remains intact, and Gold still looks headed for $1000, if not the 900/875 zone.

Friday, 28 August 2015

Net weekly declines

Despite some rather severe turmoil in world equity markets, the precious metals broke new multi-week highs, but were unable to hold the gains. Gold and Silver saw net weekly declines of -2.2% and -4.7% respectively. Mid term outlook remains broadly bearish.


GLD, weekly



SLV,weekly



Summary

Little to add.

Many recognise the importance that despite some serious market upset, Gold - and its more unstable sister metal Silver, were unable to stay net positive for the week.

With the USD set for another multi-month climb.. back above the DXY 100 threshold (and onward to the 120s), the metals look highly vulnerable into 2016.

Friday, 21 August 2015

Mixed week for the metals

With commodities remaining under pressure - despite a weak USD, it was a mixed week for the precious metals. Gold and Silver saw net weekly changes of 3.9% and 0.3% respectively. Near term outlook offers further upside, but the broader trend remains bearish.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

I have little interest in trading the precious metals.. or related miners... but am certainly still keeping an eye on them.

Friday, 14 August 2015

Net weekly gains

After a few weeks of minor chop, the precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net weekly gains of 2.1% and 3.1% respectively. However, one significantly positive week does nothing to negate the broader bearish trend, and new multi-year lows look due in the near term.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

Little to add.

Regardless of any further moderate upside - which the daily charts argue against anyway, the broader trend remains weak.

Targets remain.. Gold $1000.. if not $900/875.. as USD looks set for DXY 120s in 2016.
Silver 12/10.

Friday, 7 August 2015

A second week of chop

Gold and Silver saw a second week of minor price chop, with net weekly changes of -0.3% and +0.3% respectively. Near/mid term outlook remains broadly bearish into the early autumn. Gold still looks set to decline to the giant psy' level of $1000, along with Silver 12/10.


GLD ,weekly



SLV, weekly


Summary

Little to add.

Price structure is likely the early phase of yet another bear flag... with a snap lower due within the next few weeks.