Net monthly declines

It was a moderately bearish month for the precious metals, with Gold -$2.70 (0.2%) to $1251.20, and Silver -$0.21 (1.1%) to $18.26. Mid term bullish trend from the Dec'2015 lows remains comfortably intact. Outlook is bullish.


Gold, monthly

Silver, monthly

Summary

So, January and Feb' saw rather significant gains for Gold and Silver, but March saw the upward trend stall. The settling monthly candles were a little spiky on the lower end, slightly indicative that recent weakness has concluded.

I'm seeking the summer 2016 highs to be taken out. To be decisive, gold bugs should be seeking Gold $1400s, Silver $22s, and Copper >$3.00.

... if those thresholds are seen, the implications for the related mining stocks into end 2017/early 2018 are profound.

A second week higher

Gold and Silver climbed for a second consecutive week, with net weekly gains of 1.6% and 2.1% respectively. Mid term bullish trend remains bullish. Things only turn bearish with a break below core rising trend that links the Dec'2015 and Dec'2016 lows.


GLD, weekly

SLV, weekly

Summary

The cooling USD - back below the giant psy' level of DXY 100, is certainly helping to pressure the metals upward.

The Feb' highs for Gold and Silver are within range for next week. Once that level is broken above, the grander target remains the summer 2016 highs - GLD $131s and SLV $19s.

Effectively, any price action in the 132s and 20s - whether this spring, or not until later in the year, would be exceptionally bullish.

Key thresholds to keep in mind: Gold $1400s, Silver $22s, and Copper >$3.00.

Gold and Silver turn upward

After two consecutive net weekly declines, with the fed out of the way, the precious metals have turned back upward. Gold and Silver saw net weekly gains of 2.0% and 1.9% respectively. Near/mid term outlook is bullish, and the grander issue remains whether the summer 2016 highs can be exceeded.


GLD, weekly

SLV, weekly

Summary

As was the case for the mining stocks, it had seemed that once the FOMC had made their announcement, the metals would rebound... and they sure did.

Seen on the bigger weekly cycles, we've seen a two week cooling, and now the first push back upward. The recent highs are easily with range. The grander issue is whether Gold and Silver can break decisively above their summer 2016 highs.

I am seeking a big push upward, with Gold $1400 and Silver $22s (along with Copper >$3), which would give high confidence that the inflationary scenario will play out.

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For those of you will an interest in the precious metals, and more so, the related mining stocks...

see: http://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/p/research-reports.html