A bearish June

It was a pretty bearish month for the precious metals of Gold and Silver, with net June declines of -$33.10 (2.6%) to $1242.30, and -$0.78 (4.5%) to $16.63 respectively. Near term outlook is leaning weak.


Gold, monthly

Silver, monthly

Summary

Suffice to add, it was certainly a difficult month for the precious metals, and related mining stocks.

Keep in mind the USD, which has been in cooling mode since a bearish break in late April. Indeed, when you consider the weak USD, the precious metals are actually weaker than on first look.

Dr Copper is an indirect bullish sign, as its close to breaking and holding above the key $2.70 threshold.

A week of moderate swings

It was a week of moderate swings for the precious metals, with Gold and Silver seeing net weekly changes of +0.1% and u/c respectively. Near term outlook offers further chop. The mid term outlook is increasingly borderline, as the broader commodity complex remains under downward pressure.


GLD, weekly

SLV, weekly

Summary

It was effectively a flat week for the precious metals, after two prior weeks of sig' declines.

Was this week just a pause before renewed downside? Or do have a marginally higher low - relative to early May?

Either Gold and Silver are going to turn very bearish with a break under the May low, or they're going to eventually break above the April high. We'll know the answer soon enough.

Yours truly is especially concerned about Gold, whose MACD (blue bar histogram) weekly cycle is set to turn negative into end June.
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As ever.. price action in Gold and Silver will have big implications for the related mining stocks. Its notable that this week, the sector ETF of GDX saw another fractional break of core rising trend - that extends back to Jan'2016.

A second week lower

The precious metals of Gold and Silver declined for a second consecutive week, settling net lower by -1.0% and -3.1% respectively. Near term outlook threatens further weakness, especially in Gold. Mid term outlook is increasingly uncertain, as Silver and the related miners broke core rising trend in early May.


GLD weekly

SLV weekly

Summary

Gold/GLD: note the weekly MACD (blue bar histogram) cycle. Its set to turn negative before end June. If that does occur, it will bode for significantly lower levels this summer.

Silver/SLV: Silver has been far weaker than gold since the big turn in Dec'2015. Last week saw a key lower high put in - relative to April, and now its a case of whether the May low ($15.21) is taken out.

Best guess... it sure ain't looking so bullish for the precious metals. Leaning bearish.

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*As ever, how the precious metals trade will have massive implications for the related mining stocks. Its notable that the ETF of GDX ended the week on a bearish note, with another borderline break under core rising trend that extends back to the multi-year low of Jan'2016.