Friday, 30 June 2023

Gold & Silver cooling

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net June declines of -$52.70 (2.7%) to $1929.40, and -$0.57 (2.4%) to $23.02 respectively. Monthly momentum remains positive, but the two concerns should be renewed dollar upside and higher bond yields.

Gold, monthly1b

 


Silver, monthly1b

 


Summary

Gold: cooling to $1900.60, and recovering to settle in the $1929s. Price momentum was positive for a fourth month. The June candle offers a lower high, and a lower low. I'd note first major support of the key 10MA in the $1857s. 

Next upside resistance is the Aug'2020 historic high of the $2089s. Any price action >2100, would offer the 2400/2500 zone.

Any renewed upside in the dollar won't help, nor would any further rate hikes.
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Silver: printing $22.14, if recovering to settle at $23.02. Momentum was net positive for a fourth month. I would note the monthly 10MA at $22.49, which silver settled above.

A key threat to silver, will be if the main market sees renewed downside. A further downward pressure will be if the dollar resumes upward.

Of the two metals, I favour Gold, especially for a potential geo-political 'fear bid'. I'd accept silver has massively more upside potential than gold, but many have been saying that since the $49s of 2011.

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Wednesday, 31 May 2023

A difficult May

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net May declines of -$17.00 (0.8%) to $1982.10, and -$1.64 (6.5%) to $23.59 respectively. Monthly momentum remains positive, but the two concerns should be further dollar upside and higher bond yields.

Gold, monthly1b

 


Silver, monthly1b

 


Summary

Gold: printing a new multi-month high of the $2085s, if cooling back to settle in the $1982s. Price momentum was positive for a third month. The May candle is spiky on the upper side, we've have a higher high... but a lower low. Next upside resistance is the Aug'2020 historic high of the $2089s. Any price action >2100, would offer the 2400/2500 zone.

Any further upside in the dollar won't help, nor would any further rate hikes.
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Silver: printing $26.43, if cooling back to settle at $23.59. Momentum was net positive for a third month. I would note the monthly 10MA at $21.97, which silver settled above.

A key threat to silver, will be if the main market sees renewed downside. A further downward pressure will be if the dollar continues to re-strengthen.

Of the two metals, I favour Gold, especially for a potential geo-political 'fear bid'. I'd accept silver has massively more upside potential than gold, but many have been saying that since the $49s of 2011.

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Friday, 28 April 2023

Precious metals broadly climbing

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net April gains of +$12.90 (0.6%) to $1999.10, and +$1.07 (4.4%) to $25.23 respectively. Monthly momentum is increasingly positive, which bodes bullish for May.

Gold, monthly1b

 


Silver, monthly1b

 


Summary

Gold: printing a new multi-month high of the $2063s, if cooling back to settle in the $1999s. Price momentum was net positive for a second month. The April candle is a little spiky on the upper side, but we do have a higher high and higher low. Next upside resistance is the Aug'2020 historic high of the $2089s. Any price action >2100, would offer the 2400/2500 zone.
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Silver: printing $26.24, if cooling back to settle at $25.23. Momentum was net positive for a second month. I would note the monthly 10MA at $21.63, which silver settled far above.

A key threat to silver, will be if the main market sees renewed downside. A further downward pressure will be if the dollar resumes broadly upward.  

Of the two metals, I favour Gold, especially for a potential geo-political 'fear bid'. I'd accept silver has massively more upside potential than gold, but many have been saying that since the $49s of 2011.
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The gold-silver ratio stands at 79.25, and remains on the high side.
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The gold-bitcoin ratio climbed to 14.68, although this is still half of what it was in 2021.
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