Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Metals retracing

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net September declines of -$285.58 (6.4%) to $4155.56, and -$6.12 (9.2%) to $60.40 respectively. 

Gold, monthly1b


Silver, monthly1b


Summary

Gold: a powerful net monthly decline, printing a low of $4111, and settling at $4155. Momentum weakened for a seventh month, and is on the low side. 
 
Silver: a very powerful net monthly decline, printing a low of $60.27, and settling at $60.40. Momentum weakened for a seventh month. and is moderately negative.
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The concerns should be...

1. If equities see a washout between now and the midterms. Even if the SPX sees just minor cooling of -5.0% to the 7300s, its almost impossible not to see gold/silver/miners get dragged down to some extent. 

2. If the dollar strengthens.

3. If the Fed raise rates Oct'28th, and/or Dec'9th 

4. If the US 10yr yield climbs to around 5.50% 

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