Monday, 31 August 2026

Mid term floor

The precious metals of Gold and Silver saw net August gains of +$404.57 (10.0%) to $4447.54, and +$8.90 (15.4%) to $66.52 respectively. 

Gold, monthly1b

 


Silver, monthly1b

 


Summary

Gold: a massive net monthly gain, printing a high of $4697, and settling at $4447. Momentum weakened for a sixth month, and is on the moderately low side. 
 
Silver: a massive net monthly gain, printing a high of $71.16, and settling in the $66s. Momentum weakened for a sixth month. and is marginally negative.

If August is telling anything, its that the July lows are likely a m/t low. 
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The concerns into the fall should be...

1. If equities see a washout between now and the midterms. Even if the SPX sees just a basic correction of 10%, its almost impossible not to see gold/silver/miners get dragged down to some extent. 

2. If the dollar strengthens.

3. If the Fed raise rates in Sept' and/or Dec' 

4. If the US 10yr yield climbs to around 5.00% 

Right now... I'm guessing we see all four of those things before year end.  

Again though... the July lows for gold and silver look pretty secure. 
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