Wednesday 27 March 2013

Gold leads...Silver follows

It was a very mixed day in the precious metals world. Silver opened sharply lower by around 2%, yet Gold was flat. Silver quickly saw a pretty sharp morning reversal, and closed the day only fractionally lower. Gold managed a closing gain of around $6


GLD,60min



SLV,60min


Summary

The morning open was particularly interesting. There was a very noticeable discrepancy between Gold and Silver, which usually trade very closely.

Gold was flat..whilst Silver was getting the hammer. With Gold looking like it was set to confirm a bullish wedge/pennant, I went long Silver..and that worked out rather well.
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Near term trend for Gold looks stronger than Silver. Indeed, the Silver chart looks a real mess right now, filled with reversal/spike-floor candles, and so far unable to break above key resistance around 28.40.

My best guess is that Gold has a comfortable $20/25 of upside in the next few days, and that should at least drag Silver back to the mid 28s..possibly even the low 29s.

Whether Gold/Silver can break above the absolutely key declining resistance (see daily charts), that IS the ultimate unknown right now.
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*I exited a secondary SLV block that I picked up at the open, and am now just holding the first block overnight into Thursday, seeking 28.25/50 exit point.