Monday 30 September 2013

A bad month for the precious metals

With September concluding, the precious metals have seen a significant portion of the gains from July/August negated. Gold and Silver saw net monthly declines of -5.0% and -7.9% respectively. Near term price action looks weak, and price formation could simply be a large multi-month bear flag.


Gold, monthly, fib levels



Silver, monthly, fib levels



Summary

Suffice to say..despite the Fed continuing QE at $85bn, the precious metals are simply not benefiting.

The net monthly falls are very significant, and if October closes with declines of any degree, then the June lows look set to be broken..certainly by early spring 2014.

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mid-term targets remain unchanged, with GLD in the 90s, and SLV in the low teens, perhaps 12/10.