Friday, 14 February 2014

Precious metals breakout

The precious metals closed the week on a strong note, with Gold and Silver sporting net weekly gains of by 4.1% and 7.1% respectively. Gold has unquestionably broken out - cancelling a bear flag, Silver is still lagging a little, but is set to follow next week.


GLD, weekly


SLV, weekly


Summary

Gold has clearly broken out of the huge down trend. Importantly, the recent multi-week bear flag..is now nullified. Silver is still lagging, but will likely follow with a clear breakout in the next week or two.


Q. What about upside?

GLD, first target is 130/31. A weekly/monthly close >132, will open up 145/50 within a few months.

SLV, first target 23.50, then 25/26

Despite those targets, I STILL hold to the bigger downside targets, for 2015, with GLD 100, and Silver in the low teens, possibly even 12/10.
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Bullish for the miners

With the strong action in the precious metals, the miners are seeing a strong upside push. There looks to be a further 30/35% upside in the Gold miner ETF of GDX.