Saturday, 17 May 2014

Shaky gains for the metals

The precious metals saw somewhat choppy price action across the week. The underlying weakness remains, with Gold and Silver seeing net weekly gains of 0.3% and 1.0% respectively. Near term outlook is bearish, especially if the USD can claw higher.


GLD, weekly


SLV, weekly



Summary

Most notable aspect of the week, is arguably the closing weekly candles themselves...both Gold and Silver settled with a black candle.

As is often the case, the black-fail candles (as I like to call them), are more often than not, early warnings of a further weakness. 

Silver remains especially close to taking out the lows from 2013, and Gold isn't too far behind either. It really won't take much of a catalyst to break new lows, and I do expect them..sooner or later.
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Holding to bigger picture downside targets, Gold $1000/900s, with Silver in the low teens, perhaps even 12/10..before a grand new multi-year up wave.