Friday 23 October 2015

Net weekly declines

With the USD seeing rather strong net weekly gains of around 2.7% in the DXY 97s, the precious metals were pressured lower. Gold and Silver saw net weekly declines of -0.9% and -1.0% respectively. Near term outlook is borderline, and will be highly dependent on the next move in the USD.


GLD, weekly



SLV, weekly



Summary

Best guess?

I am seeking a bullish breakout in the USD, back above the giant DXY 100 threshold.. and onward to the 120s.

If correct, such dollar strength will put significant downward pressure on the metals (and most other commodities) into next year.

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Further, if the metals do resume lower.. it will drag the related mining stocks lower, regardless of however strong the broader equity market might be.